The man who a decade ago shook hands with the US president at diplomatic ceremonies is today an old man cornered by the justice system of that same country and reviled in Washington

I walk by the corner of Carlos III and Rancho Boyeros Avenue in Havana. A few meters from the Faculty of Dentistry, a newly erected billboard interrupts the urban landscape. It doesn’t announce a campaign against Washington, nor a partisan rally, nor even any of those slogans that have survived the passage of time like old furniture that no one dares to take out of the house. It simply says: “Raúl is Raúl.”
The phrase, that purports to be a celebration of Raúl Castro’s 95th birthday on June 3rd, has a strange effect. Four stars, a dark green background, and the insignia of an Army general convert the sign into something much more like a death notice than a tribute. The message doesn’t convey vitality, but rather evokes farewell. As if those who ordered its placement knew that the end of an era was approaching.
It is difficult to look at that billboard and not think about the distance that separates the man who turns 95 today from the figure who for decades held the second most powerful position in Cuba. For much of his public life, Raúl Castro existed in the shadow of his brother Fidel. From the years of the insurrection to the consolidation of authoritarian power, his role was that of an indispensable companion, a disciplined executor, and the guarantor of the military and repressive machinery.
While Fidel Castro favored improvisation, interminable speeches, and epic campaigns, Raúl cultivated an image of a pragmatic administrator.
It was Fidel Castro who drew him into the revolutionary adventure and placed him in all the key positions of the system. But it was also Fidel who condemned him to a subordinate political existence. For half a century, Raúl was the eternal number two.
However, those who knew him well always insisted that there were important differences between the two brothers. While Fidel Castro favored improvisation, endless speeches, and epic campaigns, Raúl cultivated an image of a pragmatic administrator. While one seemed obsessed with history, the other was focused on the mechanisms of power. While one spoke to the masses, the other preferred continue reading
That reputation for pragmatism fueled many national and international expectations when he officially assumed the presidency in 2008, following Fidel Castro’s illness. Within and outside Cuba an optimistic narrative was established. There was talk of reforms, of modernization, and of a possible economic opening. Even of a gradual political liberalization.
Some absurd prohibitions disappeared. Cubans could stay in hotels previously reserved for foreigners, buy cell phones, buy and sell their homes and cars, and access certain consumer spaces that had been off-limits for years. Later came immigration reform and the limited expansion of self-employment.
But the illusion did not last long.
The country that spent decades asking for change received more of the same. It asked for reforms and got stagnation. It dreamed of a future and was saddled with more permanence.
The transformations never touched the core of the system: the political monopoly of the Communist Party, the lack of civil liberties, and military control over strategic sectors of the economy. What many imagined as a transition ended up resembling more of a cosmetic operation designed to preserve the existing order and make the international community believe that Cuba was embarking on a path toward openness.
The moment that best symbolized those hopes was probably Barack Obama’s visit to Havana in March 2016. Images of Raúl Castro alongside the US president traveled the world. For a few hours, it seemed possible to imagine a different future for the island. A less isolated country. Less trapped by its own ideological ghosts.
Ten years later, that scene seems to belong to another life.
Today, Obama’s former interlocutor is surrounded by a completely different context. He was recently indicted in the United States on several charges, including murder, in relation to the 1996 downing of the Brothers to the Rescue planes, an incident that left four dead and profoundly strained relations between Havana and Washington.
The paradox is brutal. The man who a decade ago shook hands with the US president at diplomatic ceremonies is today an elderly man cornered by the justice system of that same country and vilified in Washington.
Nor does the political legacy he leaves behind help. Among his most unfortunate decisions was choosing Miguel Díaz-Canel as his successor. He not only appointed him, but also imposed upon him a motto that later became official doctrine: “Continuity.”
For a society exhausted by hardship, mass emigration, and economic deterioration, that slogan sounded more like a threat than a promise. The country, that had been demanding change for decades, received more of the same. It asked for reforms and got stagnation. It dreamed of a future and was saddled with more permanence. The Island-wide protests of 11 July 2021, ultimately revealed the depth of that rift between Raúl Castro’s regime and the population.
Today, as rumors multiply about his health and his disconnection from reality, it is impossible to know how much Raúl Castro knows about what’s happening beyond the walls that protect him. Perhaps he still receives daily reports, or perhaps he’s increasingly detached from the daily lives of Cubans. Perhaps he isn’t even fully informed about the legal proceedings against him in the United States.
This June, Castro turns 95 at one of the worst moments of his public career. Isolated, internationally criticized, and with a country in ruins. The only thing that seems to remain today is an old man facing the judgment of history, a tribunal far more implacable than any he has known in his lifetime.
______________________
COLLABORATE WITH OUR WORK: The 14ymedio team is committed to practicing serious journalism that reflects Cuba’s reality in all its depth. Thank you for joining us on this long journey. We invite you to continue supporting us by becoming a member of 14ymedio now. Together we can continue transforming journalism in Cuba.
















