From Havana and exile, voices from civil society warn about the implications for the Island of the ruler’s arrest

14ymedio, Havana, January 4, 2026 — Various voices from Cuban civil society have been reacting since Saturday to the capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. troops. Activists and independent journalists have welcomed the arrest of the leader and are calling for the process in Venezuela to lead to a real, peaceful, orderly, and verifiable democratic transition.
For opposition figure Ángel Moya, the capture of Nicolás Maduro is a positive step, and he recalls that the ruler “gave the order to murder and imprison hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans fighting for freedom, justice, and human rights.” The former prisoner of the 2003 Black Spring recommended that U.S. President Donald Trump “demand the immediate release of political prisoners” and guarantee “security for opposition members and for exiles who decide to return,” including María Corina Machado and Edmundo García.
For his part, dissident Manuel Cuesta Morúa, president of Cuba’s Council for the Democratic Transition, noted that the events reopen the debate over sovereignty, since chavismo, the historian also argues, usurped the popular will expressed at the ballot box in last July’s elections.
In Cuesta Morúa’s view, an opportunity has opened for the Venezuelan people to reclaim their democratic process, although he underscored the importance of respecting international law. The activist also warned that, for Cuba, Maduro’s fall would have serious implications: the loss of a key ally, an essential economic lifeline, and international backing for its authoritarian model.
“Cancer is not cured with paracetamol”
José Daniel Ferrer, leader of the Patriotic Union of Cuba and recently exiled to Miami, described the U.S. military action to capture and prosecute Maduro for drug-trafficking-related crimes as “necessary and positive.” Ferrer maintained that as long as the Cuban regime persists, freedom and human rights will continue to be at risk in the region. “Cancer is not cured with paracetamol. When chemotherapy is required, chemotherapy must be applied. Anything else is pure hypocrisy or total complicity,” he warned.
Academic Alina Bárbara Hernández opted for caution and announced on her Facebook account that she needs to reflect a bit more before commenting on what happened: “I’m taking a little time to publish my analysis of what’s going on.” Nonetheless, she shared a text by Cuban digital creator José Manuel González Rubines, who made it clear that after the U.S. operation, “Maduro is no longer in power and, in all likelihood, will be tried in the United States,” and that “his coterie of satraps handed him over and, with him, handed the country over to a foreign military intervention and a “supervised transition.’”
Meanwhile, writer Jorge Fernández Era called for caution in the face of propaganda and anticipated possible unexpected turns in the Venezuelan political landscape. For its part, the Cuban Observatory of Human Rights, based in Madrid, celebrated the arrest and demanded the immediate release of political prisoners and the restoration of democracy.
In a statement from the Independent Trade Union Association of Cuba, Secretary General Iván Hernández Carrillo emphasized that any legitimate outcome must lead, without ambiguity, to a transition with clear rules, a public timetable, and national and international verification, culminating in the installation of the government chosen by Venezuelans.
In this newspaper, Yoani Sánchez wrote on her blog: “What happens in the coming hours is crucial for both nations, but it is already clear that the boastful and arrogant Nicolás Maduro is a thing of the past. The Cuban dictatorship will be watching him closely in his next appearances, like someone looking in a mirror.”
Translated by Regina Anavy
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