To date, those in power in Cuba have reaffirmed their decision to self-immolate, which translates to their decision to immolate us.
14ymedio, Reinaldo Escobar, Havana, May 22, 2026 / The urgency of profound change for Cuba is so obvious that all the proposals for transition are essentially the same. With nuances in the tone of the language, be it moderate, academic, or radical, the same thing occurs to all of us: freedom for political prisoners, decriminalization of political dissent, economic opening, a balance between justice and reconciliation, a new Constitution, and, of course, multiparty elections.
It would be pretentious to claim that I have read all the proposals—there are so many!—and that’s a good thing, but what I do not find is the sequence expressed in the temporal plane, a chronology that makes it clear what should happen first.
And here I return to the old theme of the four possible variables (mentioned in no particular order):
1 A decision from above to save the country before ideology.
2 An uncontrollable social explosion that will sweep everything away.
3 A foreign intervention.
4 Let everything stay as it is forever.
- Step two leads to step three. If step three is reduced to economic limitations, excluding military action, it can lead to either step one or step two.Number four opens the door to the others.
No one doubts anymore the obsolescence of the ideological proposal that this party defends in its discourse.
As is often the case, the best is the most difficult, and that is for those who rule in Cuba to have a “surge of patriotism” and decide to save the country before the ideological proposal of the only permitted party, which could also be understood as saving the country before their obscene attributes of power, because no one doubts anymore the obsolescence of the ideological proposal that, in its discourse, that party defends.
The scenario is clear: foreign intervention, expressed in limitations on acquiring fuel, plus threats of escalation to the military level, may lead those in charge in Cuba to save the country before the ideology and, in parallel, generate the conditions for an uncontrollable social explosion.
To date, those in power in Cuba have reaffirmed their decision to self-immolate, which translates as their decision to immolate us, as if what they were defending had any future.
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